“When Tanks Tank and Bombs Bomb: Understanding Failure in Military Innovation,” Journal of Strategic Studies (forthcoming). With Kendrick Kuo.
“Friendly Proliferation and the Future of the Japan-U.S. Alliance,” The Washington Quarterly 49, No. 2 (2026). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Conquering Taiwan by Other Means: China’s Expanding Coercive Options,” The Washington Quarterly 48/1 (2025). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Stepping into and out of the Hegemon’s Shadow: Exploring the Alignment Decisions of Rising Regional Powers,” in J. Patrick Rhamey Jr. and Spencer D. Bakich, The Sources of Great Power Competition: Rising Powers, Grand Strategy, and System Dynamics (Routledge: 2024).
“The Real Challenge of China’s Nuclear Modernization,” The Washington Quarterly 45/4 (2022). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Posturing for Great Power Competition: Identifying Coercion Problems in US Nuclear Policy,” Journal of Strategic Studies 45/6-7 (2022).
“Primacy and Punishment: U.S. Grand Strategy, Maritime Power, and Military Options to Manage Decline,” Security Studies 29/4 (2020).
“Opportunistic Aggression in the Twenty-first Century,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 62/4 (2020). With Hal Brands.
“One War is Not Enough: Strategy and Force Planning for Great Power Competition,” Texas National Security Review 3/2 (2020). With Hal Brands.
“Signals of Strength: Capability Demonstrations and Perceptions of Military Power,” Journal of Strategic Studies 43/2 (2020).
“Sources of Instability in the Second Nuclear Age: An American Perspective,” in Lawrence Rubin and Adam Stulberg, eds., The End of Strategic Stability? Nuclear Weapons and the Challenge of Regional Rivalries (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2018).
Correspondence: How Good Are China’s Antiaccess/Area-Denial Capabilities?” International Security 41/4 (2017).
“Rethinking Stability in South Asia: India, Pakistan, and the Competition for Escalation Dominance,” Journal of Strategic Studies 38/1-2 (2015). With Eric S. Edelman.
“Contested Primacy in the Western Pacific: China’s Rise and the Future of U.S. Power Projection,” International Security 38/4 (2014).
“Reconsidering a Naval Blockade of China: A Response to Mirski,” Journal of Strategic Studies 36/4 (2013).
“Competitive Strategies against Continental Powers: The Geopolitics of Sino-Indian-American Relations,” Journal of Strategic Studies 36/1 (2013).
“Counterfeit Diplomacy and Mobilization in Democracies,” Security Studies 22/1 (2013).
"Developing a Strategy for a Long-Term Sino-American Competition,” in Thomas G. Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2012). With James P. Thomas.
“The Dangers of a Nuclear Iran: The Limits of Containment,” Foreign Affairs 90/1 (2011). With Eric S. Edelman and Andrew F. Krepinevich. Followed by “Response: The War over Containing Iran,” Foreign Affairs 90/2 (2011).
“Democratization, Instability, and War: Israel’s 2006 Conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah,” Security Studies 19/3 (2010). With Stacie L. Pettyjohn.
“Breaking Out of the Security Dilemma: Realism, Reassurance and the Problem of Uncertainty,” International Security 31/2 (2006). Followed by “Correspondence: Uncertainty and Reassurance in International Politics,” International Security 32/1 (2007).
“Friendly Proliferation and the Future of the Japan-U.S. Alliance,” The Washington Quarterly 49, No. 2 (2026). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Conquering Taiwan by Other Means: China’s Expanding Coercive Options,” The Washington Quarterly 48/1 (2025). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Stepping into and out of the Hegemon’s Shadow: Exploring the Alignment Decisions of Rising Regional Powers,” in J. Patrick Rhamey Jr. and Spencer D. Bakich, The Sources of Great Power Competition: Rising Powers, Grand Strategy, and System Dynamics (Routledge: 2024).
“The Real Challenge of China’s Nuclear Modernization,” The Washington Quarterly 45/4 (2022). With Toshi Yoshihara.
“Posturing for Great Power Competition: Identifying Coercion Problems in US Nuclear Policy,” Journal of Strategic Studies 45/6-7 (2022).
“Primacy and Punishment: U.S. Grand Strategy, Maritime Power, and Military Options to Manage Decline,” Security Studies 29/4 (2020).
“Opportunistic Aggression in the Twenty-first Century,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 62/4 (2020). With Hal Brands.
“One War is Not Enough: Strategy and Force Planning for Great Power Competition,” Texas National Security Review 3/2 (2020). With Hal Brands.
“Signals of Strength: Capability Demonstrations and Perceptions of Military Power,” Journal of Strategic Studies 43/2 (2020).
“Sources of Instability in the Second Nuclear Age: An American Perspective,” in Lawrence Rubin and Adam Stulberg, eds., The End of Strategic Stability? Nuclear Weapons and the Challenge of Regional Rivalries (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2018).
Correspondence: How Good Are China’s Antiaccess/Area-Denial Capabilities?” International Security 41/4 (2017).
“Rethinking Stability in South Asia: India, Pakistan, and the Competition for Escalation Dominance,” Journal of Strategic Studies 38/1-2 (2015). With Eric S. Edelman.
“Contested Primacy in the Western Pacific: China’s Rise and the Future of U.S. Power Projection,” International Security 38/4 (2014).
“Reconsidering a Naval Blockade of China: A Response to Mirski,” Journal of Strategic Studies 36/4 (2013).
“Competitive Strategies against Continental Powers: The Geopolitics of Sino-Indian-American Relations,” Journal of Strategic Studies 36/1 (2013).
“Counterfeit Diplomacy and Mobilization in Democracies,” Security Studies 22/1 (2013).
"Developing a Strategy for a Long-Term Sino-American Competition,” in Thomas G. Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2012). With James P. Thomas.
“The Dangers of a Nuclear Iran: The Limits of Containment,” Foreign Affairs 90/1 (2011). With Eric S. Edelman and Andrew F. Krepinevich. Followed by “Response: The War over Containing Iran,” Foreign Affairs 90/2 (2011).
“Democratization, Instability, and War: Israel’s 2006 Conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah,” Security Studies 19/3 (2010). With Stacie L. Pettyjohn.
“Breaking Out of the Security Dilemma: Realism, Reassurance and the Problem of Uncertainty,” International Security 31/2 (2006). Followed by “Correspondence: Uncertainty and Reassurance in International Politics,” International Security 32/1 (2007).